How To Build An Optimal Retirement Plan With A Financial Fiduciary That Withstands The #1 Risk Retirees Face Today
Here you will LEARN:
Approaching retirement can be the most exciting and scariest time of your life. Especially when you speak to 50 different advisors and get 50 different answers on how to structure an optimal retirement plan. Through our research and case studies provided by the foremost expert P.H.Ds in retirement planning, we've found that there really is only ONE way to structure an optimal retirement plan. We look forward to showing it to you.
Jeremiah Konger, Co-Founder
Annuity Association
RETIREMENT LANDSCAPE
With a decline in savings levels, reduction of Defined Benefit (DB)
pensions, increasing longevity, and investment uncertainty, today’s retirees face an enormous challenge that previous generations did not have to in maintaining a sustainable retirement. As more and more baby-boomers enter retirement they ask: How can we ensure that our retirement savings last a lifetime? The answer is non-trivial in the face of market uncertainty, inflation, and increasing longevity. When retirees turn for help from their financial advisors they are concerned with what they should do to sustain their current standard of living in retirement without imposing a burden on the next generation.
With a myriad of investment and insurance products available in the market to address retirement income concerns, the new challenge is answering the question: Which of these products are suitable and in what proportions?
Here we examine the risks in retirement, explain the concept of product allocation, and show you how to apply this new approach to your retirement plan.
REVIEWING THE RISKS
LONGEVITY
Your Longevity Risk is the risk that you will outlive your retirement assets. Due to improvements in medical technology, nutrition, disease control, public health, and environment, human longevity has improved over the last 5 decades. Figure 1 shows the life expectancies of Americans at birth.
Notice the improvement in life expectancies from one decade to the next. According to the Society of Actuaries, in 2014, life expectancy at birth in the United States of America was 86.6 years for males and 88.8 years for females. Averages alone do not tell the entire story since once we actually reach our retirement years, the chances of surviving for more than a decade are quite substantial. In fact, true across the entire life span, is the fact that as we survive each stage of life and the associated risks, we have increasing odds of surviving to higher ages.
Table 1 provides a sample of survival probabilities for 65-year old male and females: Perhaps the most compelling of longevity statistics are the probabilities of survival for at least one member of a couple.
For example, the chance that at least one member of a couple survives to age 85 is 82.5%; the probability that one spouse or even both are alive at age 90 is three in five.
Longevity is the #1 risk in retirement. The reason for this is because longevity is a multiplier of all the other risks we face in retirement. The longer you live, the more you are going to experience other risks such as Health Care risks, Long-Term Care risks, Market Risks, Inflation Risks, etc. Every Retiree should have a plan to combat longevity if they want a sustainable retirement.
Figure 1. Average Life Expectancy
Table 1. Probability of Survival at Age 65
Values are generated using the Gompertz-Makeham Law of Mortality calibrated to RP-2014 Mortality Table with MP-2014 Projection Scale applied.
INFLATION
Your Inflation Risk is the risk that the purchasing power of your retirement income will not be able to keep up with your standard of living. Central banks usually commit themselves to ensuring that inflation is kept at acceptable levels. They do this by fine tuning monetary policy so that the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is kept within a certain range.
Inflation is the increase in the prices of goods and services over time. The inflation rate is calculated by observing the change in price of a basket of goods and services. CPI is an indicator of average inflation for a typical urban consumer.
In the US, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) computes various consumer price indices nationally and for different geographical areas. Figure 2 shows a graph of the average cumulative CPI-U from 1970 to 2014.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (1982-84 = 100)
So why is inflation a concern? Inflation is a risk in retirement because it erodes the purchasing power of the consumer. It is less of a risk before retirement because most workers’ salary increases are at least somewhat tied to inflation. In the figure above, in a span of 30 years, a basket of goods that cost $100 in 1984 costs $237 by the end of 2014.
However, CPI-U understates inflation for retirees because health care costs, prescription drugs, medical appliances, and long-term care become a significant part of the expenditure.
These items are not captured by the CPI-U in the proportions consumed by the elderly. The decline in purchasing power over the course of retirement is a risk that has to be managed.
SEQUENCE OF RETURNS
Your Sequence-of-Returns-Risk is the risk that you will experience poor portfolio performance early in retirement. When constant withdrawals are made from an account, there is a larger negative impact on the performance of the account in a down market than in an up market because a lower portion of each withdrawal payment is made up of interest or yield and therefore a higher portion of each withdrawal payment is made up of capital.
In other words, the timing of the returns is important and is an additional risk that needs to be addressed. To illustrate the impact of Sequence-of-Returns risk, consider the following example: Assume you have $250,000 in assets and you earn 17% in year one, 10% in year two, and -8% in year three and then this sequence repeats itself indefinitely.
On average, you are earning 6.3% and the volatility of the returns (as measured by the standard deviation of the returns) is 10.5% (which is typical of a balanced portfolio invested in North American equities and fixed income assets). Further, assume that you will withdraw $1,650 monthly or $19,800 annually. How long is the money going to last? As depicted in Figure 4, the funds will last around 28 years.
Now, if we reverse the sequence, i.e. earn -8% in year one, 10% in year two, and 17% in year three (the average still being 6.3% and volatility still being 10.5%), then the funds will last around 21 years. The difference of 7 years in the example above is attributable to nothing else but the sequence in which the returns are realized.
As an individual, one does not get to choose the retirement date based on what sequence will materialize.
Figure 4: Sequence-of-Returns Risk Illustration
THE FACTS
Any of these three risks can force the individual to adjust his/her standard of living and in extreme cases can cause a dependency on social programs, friends, and family, which clearly would not make for a dignified retirement.
One cannot control the timing of the bear market just as we do not have control of our lifespan or the rate of inflation throughout our retirement.
However, rather than trying to predict the outcomes of any of these random events, one could insure against adverse outcomes using a product allocation strategy.
HOW DOES PRODUCT ALLOCATION HELP?
The financial services industry has responded by offering an expanded repertoire of insurance and investment products to help mitigate these retirement risks. These products are certainly beneficial to some (and possibly most) individual clients.
The challenge is determining which of these products should be recommended for allocating an individual client’s wealth and in what proportions.
Product Allocation is a technique that allows an individual to hedge against the risks identified in the previous section by allocating funds across three broad categories:
• Income Annuities (immediate or deferred)
• Managed Accounts (stocks, bonds, mutual funds, commodities, etc.), and
• Hybrid Accounts (Fixed Index Annuities) with Guaranteed Lifetime Income Benefits (GLB).
Income Annuities such as Single Premium Immediate Annuities (SPIA) or Deferred Income Annuities (DIA) are used to capture the benefit and value of longevity protection within a retirement strategy. Financially speaking, the embedded longevity insurance protects the annuitant (the individual on whose life the policy is based upon) living past their life expectancy.
While most of us would like to live to a ripe old age, proper planning requires that the financial cost of living much longer than expected be mitigated. Annuities insure us against longevity.
Managed accounts provide a Systematic Withdrawal Plan (SWP) or a method by which the account is periodically liquidated to generate income. With exposure to capital markets, a managed account, if markets perform well, provides protection from the effects of inflation.
Hybrid Accounts composed of Fixed Index Annuities with a Guaranteed Lifetime Income Benefit (GLB) may grow with the market while providing a hedge against a bad sequence of returns and some longevity protection, however because they are built to be a spread product they will not provide the same level of growth since your money is not truly in the market but with the trade off in growth, they offer great protection from market loss and even offer guarantees that your principal won't be lost.
Each product varies in its effectiveness at addressing the risks and retirement goals of a retiree, which may include maintaining liquidity, maximizing estate value, or increasing sustainability. There is no ‘free-lunch’ — valuable benefit offered by a product is typically offered at the expense of another risk management attribute.
For example, a SPIA offers a good hedge against longevity risk but at the expense of liquidity, bequest, and flexibility. On the other hand, a managed account provides full flexibility but fails to address longevity or Sequence-of-Returns risk.
Our goal with product allocation is to try to find the best trade-off between income sustainability and financial legacy for the particular client.
Figure 5: Retirement Product Attributes
Source: The QWeMA Group
SPIA and DIA offer the most efficient forms of longevity insurance and can be viewed as the best substitute for traditional pension which many individuals no longer own. Conversely, unless one purchases an income annuity with increasing payments (Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) or CPI-U indexing options), the SPIA/DIA scores the lowest on its ability tackle inflation.
It should be noted that SPIAs with an option for increasing payments are the only products that provide longevity protection and explicit inflation protection, this option is not considered here as it tends to be expensive and rarely used in practice.
Given the fixed nature of payments, SPIA/DIA offers a good hedge against Sequence-of-Returns risk and the product typically provides the least expensive way to establish a guaranteed income floor in any retirement plan.
On the other hand, a SWP’s risk management attributes are opposite to that of a SPIA/DIA. The investment choices with the SWP are virtually endless and the underlying asset allocation is under complete control of the investor. When managed well, the asset allocation offers indirect protection against rising inflation because in most years the market outperforms inflation.
Hybrid accounts such as Fixed Index Annuities (FIA) with GLB riders offer a good hedge against the sequence-of-returns risk. Guarantees and promises are the core of GLBs. Many promise at least the return of the initial investment, despite the performance of the market. GLBs are analogous to (albeit complex) long-term equity put options that can be purchased in the open market to provide downside protection on a portfolio. Thus, their embedded guarantees, earn GLBs the high score for hedging sequence of return risk.
However, not all GLBs are created equal. While some variations guarantee an income for life, thus providing some longevity protection, they are typically more costly than the pure form of longevity insurance offered by SPIA/DIA. Finally, like managed accounts, GLBs do not typically provide explicit inflation protection; however, many offer systematic payment step-ups or minimum percentage increases that could potentially offset the impact of inflation.
These inflation protection attributes can be thought of as more costly than those of a managed account because the fees for these hybrid accounts are typically higher than those of managed accounts.
From a financial engineering perspective, while a SWP and a GLB behave similarly in the first few years, the GLB contains a long dated put option that kicks in if and when the underlying account hits zero. Thus, while a SWP would terminate and cease providing income if the underlying account hits zero, a GLB on the other hand would continue to provide with a lifetime of guaranteed income. Stated differently, this means that a client who relies exclusively on a SWP to fund retirement is essentially ‘short’ this long-dated put option, which exposes him/her to both longevity and sequence of returns risk and may therefore reduce the probability of providing a bequest or estate transfer.
As seen in Figure 5 (previous page), the risk management attributes of the three retirement income products are only half of the story. The allocation among the products should also be selected in the context of at least three goal-achievement objectives: liquidity, behavioral “self-discipline”, and legacy (or estate value).
For instance, a total allocation to a SPIA/DIA would be inappropriate if the retiree’s primary future goal was to leave a large sum to his or her estate. Likewise, if the client spends their full monthly benefit payment, the client may have difficulty budgeting for a fluctuating spending rate or large lump sum withdrawals for unexpected cash needs. After all, the reason SPIA/DIA is able to offer such effective longevity insurance is the irreversibility of the initial lump sum payment.
Thus, while some SPIA/DIA contracts do address liquidity, other products address these needs better.
On the other hand, the SPIA/DIA is highly effective at overcoming potential behavioral mistakes that investors are prone to making – such as spending beyond their means. Further, many of us are susceptible to making irrational decisions and errors with our investments in the absence of restrictions or a guiding system in place and that can decrease the chances of meeting our spending goals in retirement.
When the initial irreversible payment is made to the insurance company issuing the SPIA/DIA, the control over the investment management decisions is also transferred away from the investor and the insurance company guarantees the monthly benefit payment for life. This leaves little room for the client’s behavioral biases and blunders.
With a SWP, a disciplined and well-informed investor can meet liquidity needs and estate goals because he or she retains the control over asset allocation and withdrawal rate; but without discipline of, for example taking a cut in income when necessary, and the financial acumen of, for example knowing when a cut is necessary, the SWP ranks low in effectiveness in helping the investor to avert behavioral mistakes.
The GLB’s liquidity is restricted by withdrawal limits imposed by the rider. Moreover, GLBs restrict withdrawals beyond a certain limit by charging surrender fees as well as reducing the benefits. The policyholder does have
liquidity with a GLB, even if it may come at a hefty price and it is therefore superior to a SPIA on this trait.
A GLB rider can also be effective in addressing some behavioral weaknesses because the surrender charge acts
as a deterrent to making excessive withdrawals. When purchasing a GLB, the investor effectively purchases protection against poor market performance in that if the account value goes to zero, the product will continue to provide guaranteed payments for life.
On the other hand, if the variable annuity is annuitized or if the
underlying investments perform poorly, and the GLB is irreversibly converted into a retirement income stream then no death benefit will be paid. This attribute makes the GLB good for purposes where the estate is of secondary concern after the client’s requirements for guaranteed lifetime income.
Finally, when it comes to evaluating fees, the basic SPIA/DIA tends to be the cheapest product option while the GLB is the highest because of the fees that must be charged for the embedded options, guarantees and the management of the underlying investments. The fees charged for a SWP typically fall between that of the other two income products because it is simpler than a GLB but its management is typically more involved than a SPIA/DIA.
PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER: HOW AND WHEN TO APPLY PRODUCT ALLOCATION TO YOUR RETIREMENT PLAN
WHEN?
If you're between the ages of 50-75, it is a perfect time to put this optimal retirement plan strategy into place. The sooner you are able to secure the foundation of your retirement plan, which is guaranteed income, the better off your plan will be. This gives you the opportunity to realize any gains you've accrued in the market during your accumulation phase and properly adjust your market risk so your nestegg is secure.
HOW TO FIND A FIDUCIARY
The first step is to find a fiduciary advisor that specializes in Product Allocation Retirement Planning. Below you can schedule a Free Web Consultation with a fiduciary advisor in our network at a time that is convenient for you and best of all from the comfort of your own home.
QUALIFICATIONS
Our qualifications are that you should be between the ages of 50 to 75 with $200,000 or more in your retirement portfolio and you are ready to take action towards achieving your retirement objectives. If you feel you would be a good fit for this service and you’re truly committed to securing your retirement, then we would like to invite you to request your Free Web Consultation with our team by clicking the button below.
HOW OUR CO-PLANNING PROCESS WORKS
With our Co-Planning approach, you won’t need to wait for an analyst to run numbers between meetings or schedule multiple follow-ups to review new options. Together, we'll create and adjust your retirement plan right in front of you - in real time. Transparent, accurate and full of answers, this is the planning process you've been looking for. During your Free Web Consultation, we will review the following:
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Frequently asked questions
Here are a few answers to our most common questions
A unique benefit to an annuity is the death benefit. Should an annuity owner die before their annuity disburses all payments, the remaining assets can transfer to a spouse or surviving beneficiary. If you choose not to have a beneficiary, upon your death all remaining annuity assets will be surrendered to the issuing insurance company.
With fixed annuities, there are no fees, upfront loads or sales charges. 100% of your money goes into your contract without any expense to you. The only time you might experience a fee, is if you choose to add an optional rider that comes with a cost.
Many (but not all) annuities have enhanced withdrawal provisions, commonly referred to as living benefits, for certain catastrophic life events such as an extended nursing home stay or terminal illness.
If you purchase your annuity with non-qualified funds and leave your interest earnings inside the contract to grow and compound, making no withdrawals, then those interest earnings are tax-deferred. What that means is that you do not have to pay income tax on the interest earnings until you choose to withdraw them.
Annuities are long-term savings vehicles designed to accumulate money for retirement. They provide their best possible benefit if left intact, without taking withdrawals. However, it's nice to know that you have access to the funds in your annuity if you need them. Many of our products provide a number of options to withdraw the money in your annuity, including penalty-free withdrawals up to 10%, and interest withdrawals through the easy systematic payment program. Remember that for certain products, withdrawals prior to age 59½ may be subject to restrictions and a 10% penalty tax. Early withdrawal charges and taxes may also apply.
Yes, some of our annuities may include the following waivers to help ease the strain of unforeseen events:
With a fixed annuity, your deposited premium and all contract provisions are guaranteed by the issuing insurance company. For that reason, it is prudent to research the financial strength and ratings of the issuing company.
Yes. Insurance companies as a whole have a long history of stability, even through our nation’s most difficult economic times. Fixed annuities, are backed by the full faith and credit of the issuing insurance company.
Most annuities do not charge up front sales charges, but have charges if you withdraw money before the end of a stated period. Generally, fixed and fixed-indexed annuities do not have administrative fees, although interest crediting rates take into account expenses related to the product.
Different types of annuities offer you different protection and opportunities when it comes to earnings. Traditional fixed annuities offer you the protection of an interest rate that is fixed and guaranteed never to be below a minimum amount. Fixed-indexed annuities offer the protection of a fixed rate as well as the potential to earn a higher interest rate based on a referenced stock or bond market index, but with the guarantee that, unless otherwise stated in your contract, you will never have a negative interest rate.
Generally speaking you write a personal check for an annuity, since you can’t swap securities or an investment account for an annuity. There are however, several important situations in which you can exchange your funds for one or more annuities through:
* Section 1035 of the Internal Revenue Code
If you’d like to discuss this further please fill out the form on the right to speak to a licensed Annuity Association specialist.
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Whether you’re buying an immediate annuity or converting a deferred annuity into income payments, your options are essentially the same. You can choose to receive payments monthly, quarterly, semiannually, or annually. You can select a specific period of time in which to receive payments. You can also choose an option that will guarantee income payments for as long as you live. Income can also be paid either:
Or “on a chosen start date” which means you can choose to have your income paid on a certain date each month. The first payment must be paid within one month of the start date of the plan and is only available where income is paid monthly.
Under current federal law annuities receive special tax treatment. Income tax on annuities is deferred which means you are not taxed on the interest your money earns while it is within the annuity. When you buy an immediate annuity or “annuitize” a deferred annuity, a portion of each payment is considered earnings, and a portion is a tax-free return of your principal. Earnings are taxable as ordinary income when distributed or if withdrawn before you turn 59 ½, a tax of 10% may be levied. Once enough payments have been made and you recover your entire tax-free principal, each additional payment will be fully taxable. There are other ways you can access the accumulated value in your annuity. For example, instead of annuitizing, you may want to take withdrawals. In that case, distributions represent taxable earnings first. After all the earnings are distributed, tax-free return of principal remains.
If your annuity is inside an IRA, 401(k), or other qualified retirement plan, 100 percent of each payment will be subject to taxes (unless a distribution represents after-tax contributions into the plan). You should consult your tax advisor regarding your particular situation.
Annuity Alliance is not authorized to give tax advice so please talk to your own tax or legal advisor to discuss your individual situation. If you’d like to discuss this further with a licensed Annuity Association specialist please fill out the form on the right.
Annuity Association is the leader in providing Independent Annuity recommendations for protected income, safe growth and other benefits in retirement.
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